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The conflict between the Russian Federation and Ukraine has come at a time of great uncertainty in the world, relating to several factors: uneven rates of vaccination against coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and new variants of the virus; inflationary pressure and difficulty in maintaining fiscal stimulus packages; trade tensions and risks in the Chinese real estate sector; disruption of supply chains and rises in freight charges; and extreme events caused by climate change.
This document analyzes the potential impact of the conflict on Latin American and Caribbean economies through several channels, mainly the trade channel (with direct and indirect effects), the commodity price channel (including terms of trade and inflation issues) and the financial channel.
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